Prediction of Luca Staeheli vs Samuel Vincent Ruggeri at M15 Sharm ElSheikh 11-21-25

• How do the two players compare on second serve performance in the last six months? Luca Staeheli won 40.72% of second serve points while Samuel Vincent Ruggeri captured 44.51%, giving Ruggeri an edge in this area.
• Is Staeheli's return game stronger than Ruggeri's? Yes, Staeheli won 43.76% of opponents' second serve points and 30.82% of first serve returns, compared to Ruggeri's 39.86% and 27.27%, respectively.
• Both players perform similarly under pressure: Staeheli saved 48.24% of breakpoints, versus Ruggeri's 49.06%.
• Overall match performance in the last year shows Staeheli with a higher win rate at 72.50% compared to Ruggeri's 30.43%.
• What surface do they excel on the most? Both players have a 66% win rate on hard surfaces, indicating equal proficiency.
• Staeheli mainly competes in lower-tier tournaments with a 72.50% win rate, while Ruggeri, who plays higher-tier events, has a 26.67% win rate.
• In terms of opponent quality, Staeheli competed against slightly stronger opponents (average rank of 311.55) compared to Ruggeri (average rank of 385.48).
• In deciding set scenarios over the last 12 months, Staeheli had a 62% win rate, notably better than Ruggeri's 29%.
• Considering break point conversion, Staeheli leads with a 37.43% rate, higher than Ruggeri’s 31.03% conversion rate, which could influence in-game moments.

Editorial Prediction (November 21, 2025, UTC):

Luca Staeheli appears to have a slight upper hand overall. His superior performance in return games and deciding sets suggests an edge in critical match moments. Combined with his higher win rate over the last year, these factors position him as a favoured competitor.

While Samuel Vincent Ruggeri showcases stronger second serve stats, indicating potential resilience, the overall data leans towards Staeheli's consistency and ability to capitalize under pressure.

Given the statistics and recent trends, Luca Staeheli is predicted to likely emerge as the winner of the upcoming match against Samuel Vincent Ruggeri.